My research agenda examines the impact of emerging technologies on international security and explores the decision-making processes that drive foreign policy. My work is organized into three interconnected streams.
1. The Geopolitics of Emerging Technology & Security
This research area investigates how technological innovation—from semiconductors to artificial intelligence—is creating new arenas for strategic competition and reshaping the tools of statecraft.
Peer-Reviewed Articles & Book Chapters
Ergurum, Ahmet, Mürsel Doğrul, and Haydar Yalçın. (2024). "The Landscape Analyses of Semiconductor Research Trends of Middle Powers: Mapping the Collaboration Networks of Japan, South Korea, Türkiye, and Malaysia." In Ahmet Nuri Yurdusev & Mürsel Doğrul (Eds.), Global Transformations and Türkiye. Turkish Academy of Sciences. Link.
Ergurum, Ahmet, Mürsel Doğrul, and Haydar Yalçın. (2024). "Technology Intelligence: Cryptocurrencies and Emerging Technologies." In Tugrul U. Daim & Haydar Yalcin (Eds.), Future‐Oriented Technology Assessment: A Manager's Guide with Case Applications. John Wiley & Sons. Link
Doğrul, Mürsel, and Ahmet Ergurum. (2021). "New Search for Cyber Security in the Light of Blockchain’s Literature Expansion." Journal of Security Sciences, 10(2), 241-266. (In Turkish).
Ergurum, Ahmet, Mürsel Doğrul, and Haydar Yalçın. (2024). "The Landscape Analyses of Semiconductor Research Trends of Middle Powers: Mapping the Collaboration Networks of Japan, South Korea, Türkiye, and Malaysia." In Ahmet Nuri Yurdusev & Mürsel Doğrul (Eds.), Global Transformations and Türkiye. Turkish Academy of Sciences. Link.
Ergurum, Ahmet, Mürsel Doğrul, and Haydar Yalçın. (2024). "Technology Intelligence: Cryptocurrencies and Emerging Technologies." In Tugrul U. Daim & Haydar Yalcin (Eds.), Future‐Oriented Technology Assessment: A Manager's Guide with Case Applications. John Wiley & Sons. Link
Doğrul, Mürsel, and Ahmet Ergurum. (2021). "New Search for Cyber Security in the Light of Blockchain’s Literature Expansion." Journal of Security Sciences, 10(2), 241-266. (In Turkish).
Working Papers
"The Political Economy of the US Semiconductors Policy: A Role Theory Approach" (with Mürsel Doğrul). Under Review.
"Caught in the Crossfire: Japan’s Semiconductor Strategy Under Dual Coercion in the US-China Rivalry" (with Eliza Gheorghe and Mürsel Doğrul). Working Paper. Under Review.
"An Institutionalist Explanation of AI Governance: The Cases of the UN and OECD." Working Paper.
"The Political Economy of the US Semiconductors Policy: A Role Theory Approach" (with Mürsel Doğrul). Under Review.
"Caught in the Crossfire: Japan’s Semiconductor Strategy Under Dual Coercion in the US-China Rivalry" (with Eliza Gheorghe and Mürsel Doğrul). Working Paper. Under Review.
"An Institutionalist Explanation of AI Governance: The Cases of the UN and OECD." Working Paper.
2. Foreign Policy Decision-Making: Leaders, Psychology & Publics
My work in this area uses quantitative and experimental methods to analyze the microfoundations of foreign policy. I focus on how the psychological traits of leaders and the partisan dynamics of public opinion shape state behavior on the world stage.
Peer Reviewed Articles
Ergurum, Ahmet. (2025). "Hawkish Leaders and Foreign Policy: A Political Psychological Approach." International Political Science Review. Link.
Ergurum, Ahmet. (2025). "The Transition from Quantitative to Computational Methods in Foreign Policy Analysis." International Relations. Link.
Ergurum, Ahmet. (2025). "Hawkish Leaders and Foreign Policy: A Political Psychological Approach." International Political Science Review. Link.
Ergurum, Ahmet. (2025). "The Transition from Quantitative to Computational Methods in Foreign Policy Analysis." International Relations. Link.
Working Papers
"David Ben-Gurion and Moshe Sharett as Founders of Israeli Strategic Culture: An Operational Code Approach" (with Özgür Özdamar). Working Paper.
"Leader Hawkishness and Military Spending: A Panel Data Analysis." Working Paper.
"Polarization, Partisanship and Foreign Policy Attitudes." Working Paper.
"David Ben-Gurion and Moshe Sharett as Founders of Israeli Strategic Culture: An Operational Code Approach" (with Özgür Özdamar). Working Paper.
"Leader Hawkishness and Military Spending: A Panel Data Analysis." Working Paper.
"Polarization, Partisanship and Foreign Policy Attitudes." Working Paper.
3. Strategic Statecraft & Regional Conflict
This stream examines how states, particularly middle powers, use diverse tools—from diplomacy and economic leverage to arms exports—to navigate the international system and advance their strategic interests.
Forthcoming
Ergurum, Ahmet. (Forthcoming 2025). "Turkish Foreign Policy in a Multipolar World Order." In Hanna Samir Kassab & Natalie Ghosn (Eds.), Non-Western Middle Powers in the Multipolar Order. Routledge. Link.
Ergurum, Ahmet. (Forthcoming 2025). "Turkish Foreign Policy in a Multipolar World Order." In Hanna Samir Kassab & Natalie Ghosn (Eds.), Non-Western Middle Powers in the Multipolar Order. Routledge. Link.
Policy Reports & Analysis
Ergurum, Ahmet. (2024). "How Do Armed Groups Shape the Sudan Civil War?" Middle East Foundation.
Ergurum, Ahmet, Ahmet Fidan, and Bengisu Açıkgöz. (2019). "The Further Potential of Turkmenistan to Export Natural Gas to China." Bilkent Energy Notes.
Ergurum, Ahmet. (2024). "How Do Armed Groups Shape the Sudan Civil War?" Middle East Foundation.
Ergurum, Ahmet, Ahmet Fidan, and Bengisu Açıkgöz. (2019). "The Further Potential of Turkmenistan to Export Natural Gas to China." Bilkent Energy Notes.
Working Papers
"Turkey’s Strategic Use of Arms Exports: Transcending Middle Power Status in Central Asia and Africa." Working Paper.
"Turkey’s Strategic Use of Arms Exports: Transcending Middle Power Status in Central Asia and Africa." Working Paper.